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A Brief on China Machinery Industry and the markets

chinahand

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Joined
Jun 21, 2006
Location
Beijing
It's been about only thirty years since China open the door to the World, China has nevertheless, in these past three decades, constructed a huge economy based on private ownership and control of resources. Apart from the state-owned enterprises, private owned enterprises, as well as Foreign Invested Enterprises (Including those invested by Taiwanese and Hong Kong-ness), are also in very rapid expansion and development.
Understanding the organization and members of Chinese local, provincial and national-level associations, as well as proper protocol and navigation, is critical for conducting business in China. Start your product sourcing, trading or business service needed with us can expect the important decisions made with your Chinese suppliers and/or partners.
Now Let’s have a review of China Mechanical Engineering Industry or machinery industry
In recent years China has carried out a series of strategic measures, to boost domestic demands with positive financial policies. “Large-scale development of North-west region” and “Rejuvenating North-east old industrial bases” with continuously strengthened infrastructure construction and enhanced implementation of various agricultural policies to enable China’s economy to continuously maintain a good status of rapid growth, high profitable and low inflation and increased living standard of the people constantly. After China joined the WTO, domestic and world markets have merged together.

1. In constitution of industry, enterprises of state-owned, enterprises of private and enterprises with foreign capital have formed three legs of tripod.

State-owned enterprises are under enormous reform. The majority of medium and small enterprises of state-owned are going through stock system for selling or contracting to have the enterprises run by civilian. A lot of private enterprises have dramatically developed. Many of them are improving the level of manufacturing equipment, actively opening up the international and domestic markets. Most world-renowned companies have started their business in China. With high-tech and large-scale production, they provide the complete sets for high-end machines or components. All these indicate that the manufacturing bases are moving to China.

2. In respect of products and manage level, the leading products produced by state-owned enterprises were developed on the basis of introduced technique from abroad in 1980s, now both quantity and quality can meet the requirement of customers. Most private enterprises give the priority to the medium level products, but the quality and variety of the products as well as service are improved continuously and comparatively faster. Enterprises with foreign capital rely mainly on the high level products; which are close to imported ones in quality. They provide the products for other domestic enterprises and key projects. Some products are of the first grade in the world and are sold all over the world.
Most products made in China are focusing on the domestic market, and a big part exports outside China.


Ⅱ. Analysis of prospects for market development
China has put forward the goal of economic development for the first 20 years of the century: insist on the view of scientific development, actively expand domestic requirement, develop such fields as in agriculture, water conservancy, energy, traffic, information, architecture and environmental protection etc.
1. Agriculture Machinery
Today China’s agriculture is a new era of historical development. In a considerable long period of time from now on, expanding operating scope, industrialized management, sustainable development, and scientific and technical innovation in agriculture shall be the four tendencies and driving forces. The development and adjustment of economic construction in agriculture requires higher level and larger scope of mechanization. Now mechanization has already developed from the traditional growing wheat to rice, maize, from traditional tillage to protecting tillage, from machine for producing grain crops to oil crops and cotton economic crops, from growing to livestock farming, aquatic products industry, fruit growing, garden farmland and manufacturing agriculture products etc. So there is a bright future of market for farm machinery. According to the forecast, the demand of large and medium horse power tractors in 2010 is about 100 thousand units, combine harvesters 50 thousand units, among which for rice about 20 thousand units, for maize about 10 thousand units. Besides, the possessing amount of other farm machinery has also increased continuously. It is estimated the possessing amount of large and medium tractor in 2010 will be about 1.3 million units, combine harvesters 0.4 million units.


2. Construction Machinery
Construction machinery is the largest customer of hydraulic products, which makes up about more than 40% of the total market volume of hydraulic products. The percentage shall further increase in the future. China is in an extensive developing and constructing period, thus the demand of construction machinery in the coming several decades will up, and China will be the largest market in the world. The state-run infrastructure projects are under vigorous construction. Besides the epochal projects of Three Gorges of the Yangtze river, Diverting water from south to north, Delivering gas from west to east, Transferring electric power from west to east, Tibet-Qinghai Railway etc., there are also a lot of key projects such as: large mines, oil fields, open cut iron mines, power stations, airports, harbors, high-speed railways, high grade express ways etc. and a great amount of city construction and residential construction. Consequently, the earth and stone moving workload of infrastructure and fundamental industrial construction projects will increase continuously. In addition to the development of logistic with containerized traffic, the demand of construction machinery will keep growing at a high rate over a long period of time. It is estimated, by the year 2010 the annual demand of hydraulic excavator will be about 60~80 thousand unit, bulldozer (above 120 HP) about 10 thousand unit, loader about 100~120 thousand unit, land scraper about 2 thousand unit, road roller 150 thousand. unit, construction hoist 20 thousand. unit, forklift 80 thousand. unit, cement-mixed machine near 10 thousand. unit.
Now, there are about 1.4 million units of construction machinery in use in China, and the figure will reach 2 million units by the year 2010.

3. Metallurgical and Mining Equipment
Output value of steel in 2003 was 220 million ton, total output value ranked first in the world, but the product structure was not reasonable. Steel plate and strip accounted for 41.95% of the total consume of steel, but they made up 90% of 37 million ton steel imported. Therefore steel and iron industry shall speed up the adjustment of product structure. It is estimated the total demand of steel in China may reach 400 million ton in 2004, in which, flat plate steel 170 million ton, make up 42.5%. In the next 10~15 years, put stress on manufacturing flat plate steel, especially sheet steel and products with high additional value. State should enlarge the investment for them and make the degree of self-sufficiency of steel reach 90%.

For this reason, China need to use advanced machines to replace the backward machine, to realize continuous and automatic production with equipments in large scale, and upgrade the industry. Meanwhile China will give great impetus to process of group-collection for iron and steel industry, carry out technical reform of manufacturing process for large enterprises, make every effort to raise the utilization rate of steel by 10%~20%, take further steps to save energy by 15%~20%. Consequently, many new continuous casting machine and cold/hot rolling mill etc are needed.


4. Machine Tools
Along with the progress of manufacturing technique, China’s demands for high precision, high-efficiency CNC machines, is getting more and more. By the year 2010, the yearly output of CNC machine tools will be approximately 50 ,000 units. Now, in China there are about 3 million machine tools in use, and it is expected that about 4 million units machine tools will be in use by the year 2010..


5. Plastic Machinery
The demand for plastic products will increase remarkably to cater for the development in the fields of agriculture, automobile, electronics, light, foodstuff, packaging and construction industries and the improved living standard of the people as well. At present, the total output value of plastic in China has come to the forefront of the world, but the annual plastic consumption per capita is only 14.5 kg, less than the 20 kg world average annual consumption per capita and far from the 50 kg to 100 kg annual consumption per capita in developed countries. It is expected by the year 2010 to be a litter bit higher than the world average annual consumption per capita. The growing consumption of plastic products provides the opportunity for developing plastic machinery. It is expected that the annual demand for plastic machinery will be about 150, 000 units by the year 2010, among which plastic injection molding machines will account for approximately 40%. Now, in China there are approximately 400, 000 plastic machineries in use, and this figure will be 800, 000 units by the year 2010.

6. Automobile and Motorcycle
The increasing motive force for developing automobile industry was provided by the quickly developed national economy, enhanced comprehensive strength, high increased national income, and the development of highway etc. At Present, an automobile industrial production system centering on the production of cars is being formed in China, and automobiles of different models and varieties can be manufactured. The overall objective of the automobile industry is that it should become one of the pillar industries of the national economy of China by the year 2010. It is estimated that the annual output value of automobile will reach 7.5~8 million units by the year 2010 with the annual growth of 10%~15%, in which, car make up 50%, bus and truck make up 25% respectively. The amount of Motorcycle will reach approximately 12 million units by 2010. It is expected that automobiles in use will be 50 million units in 2010, motorcycle 100 million units.


7. Petrochemical Equipment
Energy problem shall be the restricted factor in a long period of time in developing national economy. Accelerating the development of energy industry is of great urgency. State need to accelerate the development of petroleum and natural gas, except the project to deliver natural gas from the west to the east and other petrochemical projects are under construction, in the period of 11th five year plan shall be built 5000 km high pressure crude oil pipeline. Besides, in this period the demand of oil refining, ethylene and three synthetic materials (synthetic resin, synthetic rubber, synthetic fibre) shall increase at the rate of 6%~9%. So, there need collection and delivery equipment for oil and gas and large-scale and high-efficiency petrochemical equipment with the emphasis laid on the development of large-scale petroleum prospecting and drilling equipment for desert and ocean, large complete equipment with a yearly output of 600 000 ton ethylene, 450 000 ton synthetic ammonia, 800, 000 ton urea and chemical fibres etc.

8. Food-stuff, Packaging, Electronics, Light-industry and Textile Equipment
The emphasis is laid on the development of various high-efficiency, energy saving, multifunctional and automated complete sets of equipment and production lines, such as various liquid filling lines, production lines of fast foods and puffed foods, sterile medicine production lines and packaging lines, bag-making and bag-filling lines, suitcase making lines, high-speed tobacco processing machinery, air-jet looms, automatic winders and production lines of various household electrical appliances and electronic apparatus.

9. Harbor Terminal Facilities
In order to meet the demand of domestic construction and enlarged export and import trade, task for building coastal port and inland port is very heavy, a great number of ship loaders, car dumpers, stacking machines and container cargo handling equipment will be additionally provided or updated.

10. Ship-building and Ocean Engineering Equipment
By the year 2010, the total yearly production capacity of ship building industry will be about 10 million ton, account for 30% of the world annual output, with the emphasis laid on the development of large ocean-going tankers, LPG ships, container ships, engineering vessels, bulk ships, high-speed passenger liners and ocean-going fishing vessels. Ocean engineering equipment shall be put stress on building large engineering facilities for recovering ocean petroleum, such as large self-rising drilling ship, deep sea drilling machine, heavy-load lift, large crane and piping erection ship.

11. Power Generating Equipment
At present, electric supply has become the bottle neck, which restricts the development of economy. In the coming 20 years, the largest power-building market will be in China. Water, coal, nuclear and gas are the four pillar for power generating in China. It is estimated that the installed capacity by the year 2020 will be 960 000 megawatt, but the installed capacity per capita only 0.67 kW, less than half of that in developed countries. In future, every year need to add new installed capacity of more than 200 000~300 000 megawatt.


12. Environmental Protection Equipment
In order to keep the development of economy, society and environment well coordinated, and make the ecological damages and environmental pollution well controlled, environmental quality and comprehensive utilization of resources are raised further, state will add the investment for ecological preservation and environmental protection. China is putting emphasis on developing: urban sewage and solid wastes disposal and comprehensive utilization equipment, urban and industrial noise control equipment and atmospheric pollution control equipment.


Need assistances, welcome to visit www.tektra.com.cn


[ 06-21-2006, 08:01 AM: Message edited by: tektra ]
 
The posted "big" needs are all big iron things... Sure, you need to obtain some of these things from outside... but let's face it. There is a huge need - bigger than all the "big ticket" items you listed - for improving the respect and prospects of China's individual creator/contributors...

Almost all of the industries you mention were founded or grew from the efforts of individuals or small groups who took an idea and "ran with it".... Just look at the collective history of your list.....

If that happens, then a great period of new ideas and productivity will come into being.

I already believe that is going to be up to technology centers in China to advance and productize new power plants. There is a motivation, will, and need to make Pebble Bed Nuke Power a reality. It's one of the few things that will free us from burning up our coal and natural gas - in order to make power... Like a lot things... it will boil down to a handful of creative and daring people - who will lead the project and need state support to make it happen....

The effort was made in fighing bird flu.. The effort may be bought 5 to 7 years for medical staff worldwide to get a handle on it. Big, Big effect.

It is comparatively easy to build a big dam. But, you're done. What's next? If roads, then where will the fuel come from...? Oil production is in decline, no matter how you cut it... Someone will have to bite the bullet and really R&D the crap out of Electric Drive Vehicles. Big project... Not just a "build it" program, though. A lot of invention will have to happen... There are other areas, too....


--jerry
 
Yeah, I agree with you.
however, the most worried resources will be water in this planet soon(100 years?), however "everything follows god's will" ...

In 1980s, our generation admire the skyscraper in the U.S. and living style of west, now most of us prefer staying at little yard with some sort of lake or mount'view and begin to self-identity with our traditional cultures especially Tao, what when all is said and done for also about 2000 years and it may had been practiced may be another 2000 years.

Little people care China's "GDP" was No.1 of the world for hundreds of years declined in 17xx.

Even in 18xx, the English and French destoryed with fire of unique "yards" of Qing Danasty Palaces, almost all Chinese still think the China culture are the consummate...People still enjoy their lives.
What Japan can do now Viet Nam or Mexico will be able to do. Becauce there are money easy to make at dotcom.

I donot worry about fuel or power of kinds, I worry about clean water...
 
I think you are very right to worry about clean water. It is the big problem coming....

On the one hand, build a power plant and you can drive water purification plants. Lots of countries do it... So that part is not a technical challenge - at least there are ways to do it....

The challenges are to do it for "free..." - really free (or nearly free) and not subsidized... for people on coast lines and massive rivers... Clean water and adequate sanitation systems.

So you have to think about places where people have no money - or so little that they could not afford to pay anything... The problem gets a lot bigger when you think about it... You might say the US and China are rich by comparison... we really are.... What comes to mind is NOT Los Angeles or HK, but places like the southern African Coast, fringe areas of Mexico City, or Bangladesh.

Along the southern African coast.... for long stretches..... there is no source of power or money to pay for desalinization. But people and animals need water to drink. In Bangladesh, there is heavy metals contamination of drinking water. In both places, a tough objective is to create something "cheap - or nearly free" that can filter salt and metals out of water.

Bangladesh's problem today will soon be New Jersey's or China's problem in the near future.

My son came up with an idea on how to do this. Built a model, entered the "Invention Convention" science fair and won the "environmental award". He was 9 at the time. This fall, we may be able to start trying larger scale models in ocean water.

I don't think you let these kinds of problems get "cherry picked" by big companies that build expensive plants. Something cheap and nearly free makes the lives of poor people better - and we all benefit by that...

--jerry
 
Now we're bigging to understand why
Mitsubishi has been buying up all the
scraps of the nuclear reactor companies
in the US, including what, Westinghouse?

They're nicely positioned when the knock
comes on the door, "we want to buy eleventeen
new reactors to make electricity for our
country..."

As a side note, the one item that was missing
from that discussion, was comments about
IP law...

Jim
 
The problem is just in mechanical related field there are more than 120,000 enterprises spread in China, be aware that many of them even no market share in China but focus on American or middle east markets, a lot JVs of hongkongness/tanwanese together with small cheap workshops they are damaging the reputation of made in China and wasting of irons and contaminating the water.

BE AWARE.
 
Different than what are working on.. but hugely cool... They are really on to a good idea that works...

Like the man said earlier, Fresh Water, Power, and simplicity are big, big items. Distibuted needs and solutions are always harder to implement than big capital projects.

thanks...

--jr
 
Quote"Almost all of the industries you mention were founded or grew from the efforts of individuals or small groups who took an idea and "ran with it".... Just look at the collective history of your list..... "


Maybe the individual or small group from especially America catered to Chinese industrilizing dream, but obviously the most part of the profits from these big projects or list been taken away from German...
Anyway, I agree with you,dvideo,if we are talking about the same thing.

Tektra
 
I guess I should add... These days, making a new consumer project is always a mad scramble to beat a deadline. In my current project, I work with people in Burbank, Orange County, San Diego, Texas (Dallas - Galveston), Taiwan, and Shenzen. Everyone scrambles madly together to get the project done. We "group" speak twice a week via teleconference, net speak all the time via skype and/or email.

It does not just get done in one place. We all have to boogie after schedules and parts....

A lot of things run that way... combined efforts of individuals.

--jr
 
Tektra,

I would be interested to know what the price of the Harbor Freight machines we buy would be in China.

I think the Yuan is pegged at 8.16 or 8.26 to the USD. The machine priced at 700 USD would be about 5,750 Yuan, delivered to me, well, actually, picked up at the store.

350 pounds to be shipped halfway around the world, then trucked or rail shipped across the country.

I'm not too proud to say I bought a multi-purpose machine, non-power feeds, but good for what I need it for. Bought as "clearance", 550 instead of 700 USD. e-mailed the company asking if I could buy the missing parts (ALL of them, no chuck for the lathe function, no chuck for the mill function, no NOTHING) for hopefully a reduced price. Answer was send copy of purchase reciept, would send for free.

Took 2 months, parts backordered, got the last shipment last week, and, it seems, even a collet holder and collets that do NOT come with the original setup. Individually priced, per the lading invoices, about 250 USD in accessories.

I am happy with the machine. As I said, it is not for production, it is to make some simple parts that do not need power feed.

I, for 1, am happy with what I have bought from Harbor Freight. Have been to the store often enough that they know me, if I bring back a deftective item, they do not require a receipt, so long as I am looking for an exchange. Actually, not much of the stuff I have bought has been defective, or I have not used it all, mebbe more will break down when I do.

Regardless, when a 10 USD air cutoff tool breaks, buy another. If you can't afford to be without it that long, buy 6.

When I had a business rebuilding air and hydraulic tools, customer gave me a 3/4 Ingersoll-Rand impact wrench, broken dog clutch and clutch housing. 450 USD for parts. Customer said the hell with it, I'll buy the Japanese version for 109 USD.

SO, now we're buying the Chinese version. Because the Japanese version got too expensive.

Hell, HF, this week, has a 1 inch long shank impact for 99.99. We used to pay more for SOCKETS for this tool. If it's 25 pounds. 4 bucks a pound. CARS cost 10 to 25 bucks a pound and up.

What really gets me is that the US mfgs closed the maquiladoras in Mexico because they had to pay the employees 2 USD per hour, they could get it done in China for 1 USD per hour.

Can the Chinese who make 1 USD per hour afford to live on that amount? Buy food, buy heating and cooking fuel, travel to work, even have an after work leisure activity?

If so, again, the USD is worthless. If 2000 USD is a living wage in the rest of the world, indeed, a target to vie for, and the "middle class" here is 50,000 or more, sumpin' is wrong.

India is in the same boat, necessities are about 10 % what they are here. AND, the price of oil HAS to be rigged to make us think that it is sky high all over the world.

Ah, well, do what you will. I think the Chinese PEOPLE are trying to earn a living, same as the US people were trying to earn a living in the 19th century when they in droves left the farms to go into the factories. OR, God forbid, the mines. I don't know if we have killed as many people, short of war, as our mines and mills did.

Cheers,

George
 
Hi George, let me try to answer the 1 $ question.
Actually at present, the current exchange rate of USD/RMB is 1: 7.98
Maybe 1$ per hour is an average for most Chinese workers.
I can give you some prices in Beijing for reference (Shanghai and Beijing’s living expenses are the highest in China, maybe 2 time s compared with smaller cities)
1 USD or 8 Yuan in Beijing can buy:
1 pound of pork or beef
2 Watermelons (around 10 pounds each)
6-8 pounds of vegetables
4-5 pounds of rice
30-40 miles on bus
5 bottles of beer
2.5 ton of water
30 KW/hour of electricity
1 pack of Marlboro
1.6 litre fuel
1 DVD movie
1 CAD/CAM software or a Windows XP
1 Mcdonald's 'Big Mac' 10.5 Yuan (1.3$) :D


But in major cities of China, housing is comparatively very expensive, for immigrant farmers, if they try to make a living in Beijing, their living conditions will be very poor. For instance, 200-300 yuan per month for a very shabby house . In Beijing A 2-bed-room-flat’s monthly rent rate is about 1500- 2000 yuan. (200-250 USD). Over 75% of Beijing residents have their own flat or houses.
If the skilled farmers could have a job of 1 $ per hour at their hometown, then normally they will not have the housing problems, thus, their living is not so bad comparing with people in major cities.
The monthly family's income of the middle class in Beijing are from 5,000-15,000 RMB, the families’ income above that are rich class.
A 90 sqm flat in Beijing is about 650,000 RMB(80,000 USD)
An average car is 10,000-120,000 USD, the car of the lowest prices about 4000-5000 USD.
For CNC machine operators, the monthly wages basically are in the range of 3,500 to 8,000 yuan (400-1,000USD). An engineer’s salary is also about the same.
Monthly basic insurances (depends on actual incomes) for pension, unemployment and medical are around 500 yuan (63 USD)the major part paid by the employer.

Hope that you've got a picture.
tektra
 
tektra,

Yes,

I've got the picture, same as the resident of India whom I asked the same.

Marlboros, 4.85 USD

Watermelon, 4 USD

Vegetables, generally 2 USD per pound, less than half a kilo.

Pork or beef, 3 to 10 USD per pound,depending on cut, best steaks, higher, lower on the pig, lower, where we in the US got the term "living high on the hog". Bacon, the lowest part of the pig, the belly meat, is about 3 USD per pound, minimum.

Rice, you buy the Uncle Ben's brand, maybe 2 USD per pound. We don't eat a lot of rice, but I can still go to Aldi's and buy 3 pounds for 89 cents.

Electricity, in those parts of the country not serviced by the hydroelectric plants built by the US government, about 3 USD, plus distribution, and delivery and many other charges. Use NO electricity for a month, you will STILL get a bill for about 30 USD, just for being connected.

BEER? 30 pack for 6 USD? Good grief, my cheapest, which is all I drink, is 12 USD. SO, I guess the Chinese Gov is doing the same as the US gov, tax them sinners. Hell, they're gonna pay it, whatever the price.

Big Mac is, I think, like 2.39 USD. Don't like McDonalds, do like the 1/4 pounder, but their coffee, even though they brag they got a "gourmet" blend, tastes horrible.

Doesn't really matter. You have been helpful with your list, but, for goodness sake, there is a builder near me building 486 houses that START at 284 THOUSAND USD. AND, the buyers are lining up to buy them.

I think the world is coming to an end, with these prices. Have to sell all my scrap copper, silver, carbide. Hunker down, wait for it to blow over.

Cheers,

George
 
Tektra,

I forgot to say, I'll send you 2 bucks plus shipping and would you send me the CAD-CAM and the Win XP software?

I am kidding. You DID say before that MS charged 300 USD here, and 2 or 3 USD there.

Incremental sales, I suppose. Screw the US buyers, get a buck or 2 from anybody who would have any tendency to pirate the stuff.

Pirates are here as well as there, I am not saying the overseas users are all pirates.
Mebbe a lot are, but hey, what you gonna do? 200 USD for a new set of bugs?

Cheers,

George
 
George,

For Win XP(OEM) is about 25 USD here, I think MS still make the money, think about the the quantities of consumers.
Many people here get the installation of pirated XP free of charge at the PC vendor, and install a anti-virus and the firewall software with about 200 Yuan as an economic solution.
But since MS sells at a lower price so that more and more people buy from MS.


tektra
 
Tektra,
Happy to have spoken with you.

We have a LOT of people, here, with NO notion of what anything anywhere else is sold for.

1 dollar here? Must be 1 dollar there. The Gov says so!!!

Funny, the US Gov presses China to unlock its Yuan, it goes to 8.2 or whatever, then goes back down to LESS than 8 per dollar. A double edged sword, no? You unlock your currency, no guarantee it will go to 80 per dollar. If your currency is worthless, the exchange rate will reflect it.

Cheers,

George

Have to sell a bunch of stuff, carbide scrap, copper scrap, etc, before the dollar tanks entirely.
 
George,
Nice to talk with you, are we in the same time zone, or are you currently in Asia?


Regarding exchange rate, in China, apart from the basic living stuffs, others are still expensive, e.g. medical, higher education, may be 1$ or 3 Yuan can buy something similar but quality indeed are a bit different.

Yes, as you said, if unlock the Yuan, experts state that it will be very likely as what happened to south America years ago.

On the other hand,What you can buy at $ store, in Beijing, we seldom can see it,(there are stores like that, but for farmers) the local residents usually go to supermarket, everything's quality same as you see at wal-mart.
What you can see in $ store, they are mainly for export everywhere. They even do not have phone.no ,no addresses, no producer name. In China such products are called "3 without" and are regarded as illegal products.

Maybe these stuffs in $ store giving an impression that Yuan are undervalued. Actually quality goods(Most of what we are using)) which are made in China just a bit lower priced comparing with that of Taiwan or S. Korea.
So that if you come to China, you can find everything produced from JV or foreign invested which are also made in China.
China markets is huge so that many leading Chinese companies just cope with the local markets in which are already difficult enough to them.

Cheers,
tektra

[ 07-12-2006, 06:12 AM: Message edited by: tektra ]
 








 
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